MANY
HAVE SUGGESTED THAT THE September 11 attack on America was
payback for U.S. imperialism. If only we had not gone around
sticking our noses where they did not belong, perhaps we would
not now be contemplating a crater in lower Manhattan. The
solution is obvious: The United States must become a kinder,
gentler nation, must eschew quixotic missions abroad, must
become, in Pat Buchanan's phrase, "a republic, not an empire."
In fact this analysis is exactly backward: The September 11
attack was a result of insufficient American involvement and
ambition; the solution is to be more expansive in our goals
and more assertive in their implementation.
It has
been said, with the benefit of faulty hindsight, that America
erred in providing the mujahedeen with weapons and training
that some of them now turn against us. But this was amply
justified by the exigencies of the Cold War. The real problem
is that we pulled out of Afghanistan after 1989. In so doing,
the George H.W. Bush administration was following a classic
realpolitik policy. We had gotten involved in this distant
nation to wage a proxy war against the Soviet Union. Once that
larger war was over, we could safely pull out and let the
Afghans resolve their own affairs. And if the consequence was
the rise of the Taliban--homicidal mullahs driven by a hatred
of modernity itself--so what? Who cares who rules this
flyspeck in Central Asia? So said the wise elder statesmen.
The "so what" question has now been answered definitively; the
answer lies in the rubble of the World Trade Center and
Pentagon.
We had better sense when it came to the
Balkans, which could without much difficulty have turned into
another Afghanistan. When Muslim Bosnians rose up against Serb
oppression in the early 1990s, they received support from many
of the same Islamic extremists who also backed the mujahedeen
in Afghanistan. The Muslims of Bosnia are not particularly
fundamentalist--after years of Communist rule, most are not
all that religious--but they might have been seduced by the
siren song of the mullahs if no one else had come to champion
their cause. Luckily, someone else did. NATO and the United
States intervened to stop the fighting in Bosnia, and later in
Kosovo. Employing its leverage, the U.S. government pressured
the Bosnian government into expelling the mujahedeen. Just
last week, NATO and Bosnian police arrested four men in
Sarajevo suspected of links to international terrorist groups.
Some Albanian hotheads next tried to stir up trouble in
Macedonia, but, following the dispatch of a NATO peacekeeping
force, they have now been pressured to lay down their arms.
U.S. imperialism--a liberal and humanitarian imperialism, to
be sure, but imperialism all the same--appears to have paid
off in the Balkans.
The problem is that, while the
Clinton administration eventually did something right in the
Balkans, elsewhere it was scandalously irresolute in the
assertion of U.S. power. By cutting and running from Somalia
after the deaths of 18 U.S. soldiers, Bill Clinton fostered a
widespread impression that we could be chased out of a country
by anyone who managed to kill a few Americans. (Ronald Reagan
did much the same thing by pulling out of Lebanon after the
1983 bombing of the U.S. Marine barracks.) After the attacks
on the U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania in 1998, Clinton
sent cruise missiles--not soldiers--to strike a symbolic blow
against bin Laden's training camps in Afghanistan and a
pharmaceutical factory in Sudan. Those attacks were indeed
symbolic, though not in the way Clinton intended. They
symbolized not U.S. determination but rather passivity in the
face of terrorism. And this impression was reinforced by the
failure of either Bill Clinton or George W. Bush to retaliate
for the attack on the USS Cole in October 2000, most likely
carried out by Osama bin Laden's al Qaeda network. All these
displays of weakness emboldened our enemies to commit greater
and more outrageous acts of aggression, much as the failure of
the West to contest Japan's occupation of Manchuria in the
1930s, or Mussolini's incursion into Abyssinia, encouraged the
Axis powers toward more spectacular depravities.
The
problem, in short, has not been excessive American
assertiveness but rather insufficient assertiveness. The
question is whether, having now been attacked, we will act as
a great power should.
IT IS STRIKING--and no
coincidence--that America now faces the prospect of military
action in many of the same lands where generations of British
colonial soldiers went on campaigns. Afghanistan, Sudan,
Libya, Egypt, Arabia, Mesopotamia (Iraq), Palestine, Persia,
the Northwest Frontier (Pakistan)--these are all places where,
by the 19th century, ancient imperial authority, whether
Ottoman, Mughal, or Safavid, was crumbling, and Western armies
had to quell the resulting disorder. In Egypt, in 1882,
Lieutenant General Sir Garnet Wolseley put down a nationalist
revolt led by a forerunner of Nasser, Colonel Ahmed Arabi. In
Sudan, in the 1880s, an early-day bin Laden who called himself
the Mahdi (Messiah) rallied the Dervishes for a jihad to
spread fundamentalist Islam to neighboring states. Mahdism was
crushed by Sir Horatio Herbert Kitchener on the battlefield of
Omdurman in 1898. Both Sudan and Egypt remained relatively
quiet thereafter, until Britain finally pulled out after World
War II.
In Afghanistan, the British suffered a serious
setback in 1842 when their forces had to retreat from Kabul
and were massacred--all but Dr. William Brydon, who staggered
into Jalalabad to tell the terrible tale. This British failure
has been much mentioned in recent weeks to support the
proposition that the Afghans are invincible fighters. Less
remembered is the sequel. An army under Major General George
Pollock forced the Khyber Pass, recaptured Kabul, burned down
the Great Bazaar to leave "some lasting mark of the just
retribution of an outraged nation," and then marched back to
India.
Thirty-six years later, in 1878, the British
returned to Afghanistan. The highlight of the Second Afghan
War was Lieutenant General Frederick Roberts's once-famous
march from Kabul to Kandahar. Although the British were always
badly outnumbered, they repeatedly bested larger Afghan
armies. The British did not try to impose a colonial
administration in Kabul, but Afghanistan became in effect a
British protectorate with its foreign policy controlled by the
raj. This arrangement lasted until the Third Afghan War in
1919, when Britain, bled dry by World War I, finally left the
Afghans to their own devices.
Afghanistan and other
troubled lands today cry out for the sort of enlightened
foreign administration once provided by self-confident
Englishmen in jodhpurs and pith helmets. Is imperialism a
dusty relic of a long-gone era? Perhaps. But it's interesting
to note that in the 1990s East Timor, Cambodia, Kosovo, and
Bosnia all became wards of the international community
(Cambodia only temporarily). This precedent could easily be
extended, as suggested by David Rieff, into a formal system of
United Nations mandates modeled on the mandatory territories
sanctioned by the League of Nations in the 1920s. Following
the defeat of the German and Ottoman empires, their colonial
possessions were handed out to the Allied powers, in theory to
prepare their inhabitants for eventual self-rule. (America was
offered its own mandate over Armenia, the Dardanelles, and
Constantinople, but the Senate rejected it along with the
Treaty of Versailles.) This was supposed to be "for the good
of the natives," a phrase that once made progressives snort in
derision, but may be taken more seriously after the left's
conversion (or, rather, reversion) in the 1990s to the cause
of "humanitarian" interventions.
The mealy-mouthed
modern euphemism is "nation-building," but "state building" is
a better description. Building a national consciousness, while
hardly impossible (the British turned a collection of princely
states into modern India), is a long-term task. Building a
working state administration is a more practical short-term
objective that has been achieved by countless colonial
regimes, including the United States in Haiti (1915-1933), the
Dominican Republic (1916-1924), Cuba (1899-1902, 1906-1909),
and the Philippines (1899-1935), to say nothing of the
achievements of generals Lucius Clay in Germany and Douglas
MacArthur in Japan.
Unilateral U.S. rule may no longer
be an option today. But the United States can certainly lead
an international occupation force under U.N. auspices, with
the cooperation of some Muslim nations. This would be a huge
improvement in any number of lands that support or shelter
terrorists. For the sake of simplicity, let's consider two:
Afghanistan and Iraq.
In Afghanistan, as I write, the
Special Forces are said to be hunting Osama bin Laden and his
followers. Let us hope they do not catch him, at least not
alive. It would not be an edifying spectacle to see this
scourge of the infidels--this holy warrior who rejects the
Enlightenment and all its works--asserting a medley of
constitutional rights in a U.S. courtroom, perhaps even in the
federal courthouse located just a short walk from where the
World Trade Center once stood. But whatever happens with bin
Laden, it is clear we cannot leave the Taliban in power. It is
a regime that can bring nothing but grief to its people, its
neighbors, and the United States.
But when we oust the
Taliban, what comes next? Will we repeat our mistake of a
decade ago and leave? What if no responsible government
immediately emerges? What if millions of Afghans are left
starving? Someone would have to step in and help--and don't
bet on the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees getting the job
done. The United States, in cooperation with its allies, would
be left with the responsibility to feed the hungry, tend the
sick, and impose the rule of law. This is what we did for the
defeated peoples of Germany, Italy, and Japan, and it is a
service that we should extend to the oppressed people of
Afghanistan as well. Unlike 19th-century European
colonialists, we would not aim to impose our rule permanently.
Instead, as in Western Germany, Italy, and Japan, occupation
would be a temporary expedient to allow the people to get back
on their feet until a responsible, humane, preferably
democratic, government takes over.
Then there is Iraq.
Saddam Hussein is a despised figure whose people rose up in
rebellion in 1991 when given the opportunity to do so by
American military victories. But the first Bush administration
refused to go to Baghdad, and stood by as Saddam crushed the
Shiite and Kurdish rebellions. As a shameful moment in U.S.
history, the abandonment of these anti-Saddam rebels ranks
right up there with our abandonment of the South Vietnamese in
1975. We now have an opportunity to rectify this historic
mistake.
The debate about whether Saddam Hussein was
implicated in the September 11 attacks misses the point. Who
cares if Saddam was involved in this particular barbarity? He
has been involved in so many barbarities over the years--from
gassing the Kurds to raping the Kuwaitis--that he has already
earned himself a death sentence a thousand times over. But it
is not just a matter of justice to depose Saddam. It is a
matter of self defense: He is currently working to acquire
weapons of mass destruction that he or his confederates will
unleash against America and our allies if given the chance.
Once Afghanistan has been dealt with, America should
turn its attention to Iraq. It will probably not be possible
to remove Saddam quickly without a U.S. invasion and
occupation--though it will hardly require half a million men,
since Saddam's army is much diminished since the Gulf War, and
we will probably have plenty of help from Iraqis, once they
trust that we intend to finish the job this time. Once we have
deposed Saddam, we can impose an American-led, international
regency in Baghdad, to go along with the one in Kabul. With
American seriousness and credibility thus restored, we will
enjoy fruitful cooperation from the region's many
opportunists, who will show a newfound eagerness to be helpful
in our larger task of rolling up the international terror
network that threatens us.
OVER THE YEARS,
AMERICA HAS EARNED opprobrium in the Arab world for its
realpolitik backing of repressive dictators like Hosni Mubarak
and the Saudi royal family. This could be the chance to right
the scales, to establish the first Arab democracy, and to show
the Arab people that America is as committed to freedom for
them as we were for the people of Eastern Europe. To turn Iraq
into a beacon of hope for the oppressed peoples of the Middle
East: Now that would be a historic war aim.
Is this an
ambitious agenda? Without a doubt. Does America have the
resources to carry it out? Also without a doubt. Does America
have the will? That is an open question. But who, on December
6, 1941, would have expected that in four years' time America
would not only roll back German and Japanese aggression, but
also occupy Tokyo and Berlin and impose liberal democracy
where dictators had long held sway? And fewer American lives
were lost on December 7, 1941, than on September 11, 2001.
"With respect to the nature of the regime in
Afghanistan, that is not uppermost in our minds right now,"
Secretary of State Colin Powell recently said. If not
uppermost, though, it certainly should be on our minds. Long
before British and American armies had returned to the
continent of Europe--even before America had entered the
struggle against Germany and Japan--Winston Churchill and
Franklin Roosevelt met on a battleship in the North Atlantic
to plan the shape of the postwar world. The Atlantic Charter
of August 14, 1941, pledged Britain and America to creating a
liberal world order based on peace and national
self-determination. The leaders of America, and of the West,
should be making similar plans today.
Once they do,
they will see that ambitious goals--such as "regime
change"--are also the most realistic. Occupying Iraq and
Afghanistan will hardly end the "war on terrorism," but it
beats the alternatives. Killing bin Laden is important and
necessary; but it is not enough. New bin Ladens could rise up
to take his place. We must not only wipe out the vipers but
also destroy their nest and do our best to prevent new nests
from being built there again.
Max Boot, editorial
features editor of the Wall Street Journal, is author of The
Savage Wars of Peace: Small Wars and the Rise of American
Power, due out in spring 2002 from Basic Books.
October 15, 2001 - Volume 7, Number 5
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